Housing stock across this area was mostly built between 1938 and 2005, with the bulk from the 1980s and 90s across the 28 named neighborhoods and towns we work. That generation of garage doors shipped with plain steel rollers on steel stems - no sealed bearings, no nylon coating. Thirty to forty years of use is a long run for that hardware, and a lot of it is still in service, just noisier every winter.
The climate band here is classified cold and severe, and that matters more for rollers than people expect. Cold makes old grease in the bearing seize up, so the roller stops spinning freely and starts dragging or skidding against the track instead. A dragging roller wears a flat side into itself fast, and a flat roller vibrates the whole track, which loosens brackets and stresses the opener. So the sequence in a lot of these older houses is the same: original steel roller, decades of cold-weather drag, a flat spot, then a noisy door that the owner finally calls about. It's not bad luck - it's the age of the hardware meeting the temperature swings this area gets every year.